BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

August Holmgren vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 9:05 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Facundo Diaz Acosta

Key insights

Player performance profile

August Holmgren

HARD

50% · 1212 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

100% · 10 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.589% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.54% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.383% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%97% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

CLAY

71% · 177 on clay

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,870 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.825% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.831% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.016% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
20%3% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

August Holmgren and Facundo Diaz Acosta are set to meet at the French Open on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 1–0 record on clay courts in 2026, while Acosta has posted a 17–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Acosta entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Holmgren and Acosta at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Holmgren and Acosta have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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