August Holmgren vs Chris Rodesch · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras • Clay • Jan 20, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Chris Rodesch
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 15–15 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
71% · 5–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Chris Rodesch
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~823 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~823 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 75% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.9 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Chris Rodesch are set to meet at the Oeiras on January 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Rodesch has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rodesch entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rodesch leads 2–0 over Holmgren, including a win in their most recent meeting.