Aslan Karatsev vs Mikhail Kukushkin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Porto • Hard • Jul 29, 2025 • 10:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mikhail Kukushkin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aslan Karatsev
64% · 14–8 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Mikhail Kukushkin
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aslan Karatsev and Mikhail Kukushkin are set to meet at the Porto on July 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Karatsev enters with a 14–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kukushkin has posted a 20–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kukushkin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kukushkin leads 2–0 over Karatsev, including a win in their most recent meeting.