Ashlyn Krueger vs Jessica Pegula · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ashlyn Krueger
43% · 6–8 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,900 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,900 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.0 | 90% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jessica Pegula
83% · 19–4 on hard
86% · 6–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ashlyn Krueger and Jessica Pegula are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Krueger enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pegula has posted a 11–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pegula entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 4–0 over Krueger, including a win in their most recent meeting.