Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 16, 2025 • 6:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mirra Andreeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aryna Sabalenka
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,073 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,073 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.3 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.9 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mirra Andreeva
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
66%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,194 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,194 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sabalenka enters with a 39–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Andreeva has posted a 24–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Andreeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sabalenka leads 5–2 over Andreeva.