Arthur Rinderknech vs Reilly Opelka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Phoenix • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 6:55 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Reilly Opelka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,405 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,405 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.1 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Reilly Opelka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -9.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Rinderknech and Reilly Opelka are set to meet at the Phoenix on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rinderknech enters with a 16–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Opelka has posted a 21–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rinderknech entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rinderknech leads 2–1 over Opelka, including a win in their most recent meeting.