Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 4:25 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Gea
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~818 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~818 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.5 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stan Wawrinka
20% · 1–4 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,213 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,213 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.1 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Gea and Stan Wawrinka are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gea enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Wawrinka has posted a 1–4 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gea entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Gea and Wawrinka at the professional level.