Arthur Gea vs Liam Draxl · Match odds & ELO prediction
Noumea • Hard • Jan 8, 2026 • 9:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Arthur Gea
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Gea
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,529 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,529 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Liam Draxl
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Gea and Liam Draxl are set to meet at the Noumea on January 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gea enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Draxl has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gea entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gea leads 2–0 over Draxl, including a win in their most recent meeting.