Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 10, 2025 • 1:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Arthur Fils
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Fils
61% · 11–7 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,800 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,800 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fils enters with a 11–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Musetti has posted a 26–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Musetti, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fils leads 2–1 over Musetti, including a win in their most recent meeting.