Arthur Fils vs Emilio Nava · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2026 • 2:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Arthur Fils
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Fils
61% · 11–7 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,800 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,800 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emilio Nava
40% · 4–6 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,559 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,559 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Fils and Emilio Nava are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fils enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Nava has posted a 10–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nava entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.