Arthur Cazaux vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jinan • Hard • Oct 11, 2025 • 8:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Arthur Cazaux
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Cazaux
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shintaro Mochizuki
0% · 0–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Cazaux and Shintaro Mochizuki are set to meet at the Jinan on October 11, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cazaux enters with a 21–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mochizuki has posted a 30–21 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Cazaux, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Cazaux leads 2–1 over Mochizuki.