BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Arthur Cazaux vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Match odds & ELO prediction

Jinan • Hard • Oct 11, 2025 • 8:00 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Arthur Cazaux

Key insights

Player performance profile

Arthur Cazaux

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.768% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.829% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.184% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%73% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Shintaro Mochizuki

HARDSmall sample

0% · 03 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,363 points across 34 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.73% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
0.991% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.437% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%48% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Arthur Cazaux and Shintaro Mochizuki are set to meet at the Jinan on October 11, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cazaux enters with a 21–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mochizuki has posted a 30–21 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mochizuki entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cazaux leads 2–1 over Mochizuki.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Cazaux and Mochizuki alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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