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Match analytics

Arthur Cazaux vs Jacob Fearnley · Match odds & ELO prediction

Australian Open • Hard • Jan 15, 2025 • 6:40 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 3

Winner Jacob Fearnley

Key insights

Player performance profile

Arthur Cazaux

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.767% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.831% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.181% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%74% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jacob Fearnley

HARD

29% · 410 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

100% · 20 on clay

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,641 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.122% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.971% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.589% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
61%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Arthur Cazaux and Jacob Fearnley are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cazaux enters with a 21–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fearnley has posted a 19–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cazaux entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Cazaux and Fearnley alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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