Arnaud Bailly Gilles vs Carles Hernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Sintra • Hard • Oct 25, 2025 • 4:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Arnaud Bailly Gilles
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arnaud Bailly Gilles
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Carles Hernandez
39% · 9–14 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Arnaud Bailly Gilles and Carles Hernandez are set to meet at the M25 Sintra on October 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gilles enters with a 29–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hernandez has posted a 9–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gilles entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gilles leads 1–0 over Hernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.