Arnaud Bailly Gilles vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Murcia • Clay • Mar 19, 2026 • 12:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Arnaud Bailly Gilles
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arnaud Bailly Gilles
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
57% · 8–6 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arnaud Bailly Gilles and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Murcia on March 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gilles enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Canas has posted a 6–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gilles entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gilles leads 2–0 over Canas, including a win in their most recent meeting.