Arnaud Bailly Gilles vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Murcia • Clay • Mar 19, 2026 • 12:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Arnaud Bailly Gilles
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arnaud Bailly Gilles
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
61% · 22–14 on hard
50% · 19–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arnaud Bailly Gilles and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Murcia on March 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gilles enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Canas has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gilles, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gilles leads 2–0 over Canas, including a win in their most recent meeting.