Arianne Hartono vs Yexin Ma · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Cary, NC • Hard • Jul 3, 2025 • 7:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Yexin Ma
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arianne Hartono
46% · 21–25 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
38% · 3–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,666 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,666 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yexin Ma
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arianne Hartono and Yexin Ma are set to meet at the W100 Cary, NC on July 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Hartono enters with a 21–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ma has posted a 35–23 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ma entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ma leads 2–1 over Hartono, including a win in their most recent meeting.