Arantxa Rus vs Maria Mateas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rabat • Clay • May 21, 2025 • 11:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Maria Mateas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arantxa Rus
44% · 12–15 on hard
58% · 28–20 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Mateas
50% · 13–13 on hard
42% · 5–7 on clay
0% · 0–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arantxa Rus and Maria Mateas are set to meet at the Rabat on May 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rus enters with a 28–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Mateas has posted a 5–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mateas entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.