Match analytics

Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 24, 2026 • 8:00 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Anna Kalinskaya

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,369 points across 44 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.179% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.730% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.433% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%37% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Iga Swiatek

HARD

60% · 32 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.898% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.296% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.581% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
71%87% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Anna Kalinskaya and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kalinskaya enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Swiatek has posted a 3–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 2–1 over Kalinskaya, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Kalinskaya and Swiatek have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.