Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Leylah Fernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ann Li
38% · 5–8 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,173 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,173 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ann Li and Leylah Fernandez are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Li enters with a 5–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Fernandez has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Li entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Li leads 2–0 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.