Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 7, 2026 • 11:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yibing Wu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,650 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,650 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.1 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Yibing Wu are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Wu has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Wu, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 2–0 over Wu, including a win in their most recent meeting.