BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbert · Match odds & ELO prediction

Dubai • Hard • Feb 25, 2026 • 3:15 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Andrey Rublev

Key insights

Player performance profile

Andrey Rublev

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.780% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.557% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.713% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Ugo Humbert

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,690 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.789% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.832% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.175% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Andrey Rublev and Ugo Humbert are set to meet at the Dubai on February 25, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Humbert has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 3–2 over Humbert, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Rublev and Humbert have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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