Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 9, 2026 • 7:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,545 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,545 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuno Borges
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,863 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,863 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Borges has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Borges entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 3–0 over Borges, including a win in their most recent meeting.