Match analytics

Andrey Rublev vs Lloyd Harris · Match odds & ELO prediction

Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 2, 2025 • 1:35 PM

Grass

Final score

3 - 1

Winner Andrey Rublev

Key insights

Player performance profile

Andrey Rublev

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.985% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.852% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.411% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%29% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lloyd Harris

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,018 points across 17 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
2.174% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.732% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.453% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%51% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Andrey Rublev and Lloyd Harris are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 2, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 4–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Harris has posted a 5–4 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rublev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 3–0 over Harris, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Rublev, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Harris has gone 2–3 over the same span.