Andrey Rublev vs Lloyd Harris · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 27, 2025 • 2:40 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lloyd Harris
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,374 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,374 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Lloyd Harris are set to meet at the French Open on May 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Harris has posted a 3–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rublev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 3–0 over Harris, including a win in their most recent meeting.