BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Andrey Rublev vs Fabian Marozsan · Match odds & ELO prediction

Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 2, 2025 • 10:40 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Fabian Marozsan

Key insights

Player performance profile

Andrey Rublev

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.780% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.557% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.713% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Fabian Marozsan

HARD

46% · 67 on hard

CLAY

50% · 55 on clay

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,459 points across 66 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.952% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.144% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.654% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%66% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Andrey Rublev and Fabian Marozsan are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 22–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Marozsan has posted a 16–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Marozsan entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 3–2 over Marozsan, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Rublev, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Marozsan has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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