Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 10, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Arthur Fils
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Fils
61% · 11–7 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,800 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,800 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Arthur Fils are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Fils has posted a 10–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fils, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fils leads 2–1 over Rublev, including a win in their most recent meeting.