Andrea Pellegrino vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Turin 2 • Hard • May 13, 2025 • 10:55 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrea Pellegrino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–1 on hard
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Pellegrino and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Turin 2 on May 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Pellegrino enters with a 0–5 record on hard courts in 2025, while Napolitano has posted a 7–8 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Pellegrino leads 3–1 over Napolitano, including a win in their most recent meeting.