Andrea Pellegrino vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Turin 2 • Hard • May 13, 2025 • 10:55 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrea Pellegrino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–5 on hard
67% · 37–18 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,736 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,736 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Pellegrino and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Turin 2 on May 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Pellegrino enters with a 0–5 record on hard courts in 2025, while Napolitano has posted a 7–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Pellegrino, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pellegrino leads 3–1 over Napolitano, including a win in their most recent meeting.