Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 6:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Andrea Pellegrino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–1 on hard
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,547 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,547 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca Nardi
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Pellegrino and Luca Nardi are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pellegrino enters with a 14–10 record on clay courts in 2026, while Nardi has posted a 0–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pellegrino entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pellegrino leads 2–0 over Nardi, including a win in their most recent meeting.