Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Manon Leonard · Match odds & ELO prediction
Les Sables d'Olonne • Hard • Feb 19, 2026 • 5:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
60% · 6–4 on hard
69% · 9–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~568 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~568 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manon Leonard
29% · 5–12 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,102 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,102 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Manon Leonard are set to meet at the Les Sables d'Olonne on February 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Garcia enters with a 6–4 record on hard courts in 2026, while Leonard has posted a 5–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Garcia, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Garcia leads 2–0 over Leonard, including a win in their most recent meeting.