Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Francesca Jones · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 23, 2025 • 10:55 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Anastasiia Sobolieva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anastasiia Sobolieva
30% · 6–14 on hard
60% · 25–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,029 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,029 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francesca Jones
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,455 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,455 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.2 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anastasiia Sobolieva and Francesca Jones are set to meet at the French Open on May 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sobolieva enters with a 25–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jones has posted a 26–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sobolieva entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.