Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2026 • 8:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Anastasia Potapova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anastasia Potapova
47% · 7–8 on hard
79% · 11–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anastasia Potapova and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Potapova enters with a 11–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Rybakina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Potapova leads 1–0 over Rybakina, including a win in their most recent meeting.