Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Elise Mertens · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 8, 2026 • 12:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Elise Mertens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,378 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,378 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elise Mertens
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,620 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,620 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Elise Mertens are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pavlyuchenkova enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Mertens has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mertens, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pavlyuchenkova leads 2–1 over Mertens.