Aliona Falei vs Arina Rodionova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 7, 2025 • 3:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Arina Rodionova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aliona Falei
57% · 29–22 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
8 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~534 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~534 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arina Rodionova
56% · 20–16 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aliona Falei and Arina Rodionova are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Falei enters with a 29–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rodionova has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Falei entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rodionova leads 3–0 over Falei, including a win in their most recent meeting.