Alina Charaeva vs Xiaodi You · Match odds & ELO prediction
Midland • Hard • Feb 18, 2026 • 7:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Xiaodi You
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~563 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~563 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -9.1 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alina Charaeva and Xiaodi You are set to meet at the Midland on February 18, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Charaeva enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while You has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Charaeva, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.