Alina Charaeva vs Shilin Xu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Midland • Hard • Feb 17, 2026 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,481 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,481 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.3 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shilin Xu
63% · 5–3 on hard
55% · 11–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
3 matches tracked · limited sample
Match Overview
Alina Charaeva and Shilin Xu are set to meet at the Midland on February 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Charaeva enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Xu has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Xu entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 1–0 over Xu, including a win in their most recent meeting.