Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Antalya 3 • Clay • Mar 11, 2026 • 7:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,481 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,481 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.3 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lia Karatancheva
27% · 3–8 on hard
54% · 27–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~424 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~424 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alina Charaeva and Lia Karatancheva are set to meet at the Antalya 3 on March 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Charaeva enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Karatancheva has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Charaeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 1–0 over Karatancheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.