Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
62% · 13–8 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,383 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,383 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alina Charaeva and Aliaksandra Sasnovich are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Charaeva enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Sasnovich has posted a 4–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Charaeva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 2–0 over Sasnovich, including a win in their most recent meeting.