Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Julia Grabher · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 4, 2026 • 9:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Julia Grabher
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
62% · 13–8 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,383 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,383 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julia Grabher
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.6 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.8 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Julia Grabher are set to meet at the Rome on May 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sasnovich enters with a 4–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Grabher has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Grabher, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Grabher leads 1–0 over Sasnovich, including a win in their most recent meeting.