Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras • Clay • Jan 20, 2026 • 7:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Stefan Kozlov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,825 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,825 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefan Kozlov
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~209 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~209 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and Stefan Kozlov are set to meet at the Oeiras on January 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Galarneau enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kozlov has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Kozlov leads 2–1 over Galarneau, including a win in their most recent meeting.