Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras • Clay • Jan 20, 2026 • 7:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Stefan Kozlov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
61% · 19–12 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefan Kozlov
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~209 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~209 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and Stefan Kozlov are set to meet at the Oeiras on January 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Galarneau enters with a 1–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kozlov has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Kozlov leads 2–1 over Galarneau, including a win in their most recent meeting.