Alexis Galarneau vs Rio Noguchi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bloomfield Hills • Hard • Jul 23, 2025 • 8:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,436 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,436 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rio Noguchi
70% · 19–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and Rio Noguchi are set to meet at the Bloomfield Hills on July 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Galarneau enters with a 35–26 record on hard courts in 2025, while Noguchi has posted a 38–31 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Galarneau leads 2–0 over Noguchi, including a win in their most recent meeting.