Alexis Galarneau vs Luka Pavlovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Olbia • Hard • Oct 13, 2025 • 11:45 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luka Pavlovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,234 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,234 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luka Pavlovic
25% · 1–3 on hard
61% · 30–19 on clay
67% · 2–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.8 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and Luka Pavlovic are set to meet at the Olbia on October 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Galarneau enters with a 35–26 record on hard courts in 2025, while Pavlovic has posted a 1–3 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Galarneau, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pavlovic leads 2–0 over Galarneau, including a win in their most recent meeting.