Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jiujiang (China) - Qualification • Hard • Apr 27, 2026 • 6:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,436 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,436 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dane Sweeny
63% · 17–10 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and Dane Sweeny are set to meet at the Jiujiang (China) - Qualification on April 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Galarneau enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Sweeny has posted a 17–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sweeny entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Galarneau leads 2–0 over Sweeny, including a win in their most recent meeting.