Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 2 • Clay • Jan 29, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,234 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,234 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
August Holmgren
50% · 15–15 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
71% · 5–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and August Holmgren are set to meet at the Oeiras 2 on January 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Galarneau enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Holmgren has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Galarneau, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.