Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Damm · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,497 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,497 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martin Damm
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,692 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,692 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.7 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Martin Damm are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Popyrin enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Damm has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Popyrin entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Popyrin and Damm at the professional level.