Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Oct 27, 2025 • 3:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Paris on October 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 7–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bublik has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.