Alexandre Muller vs Rei Sakamoto · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 19, 2025 • 10:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexandre Muller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexandre Muller
33% · 2–4 on hard
54% · 7–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,502 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,502 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexandre Muller and Rei Sakamoto are set to meet at the Miami on March 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Muller enters with a 15–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sakamoto has posted a 31–22 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.