Alexandra Eala vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 21, 2025 • 4:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexandra Eala
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexandra Eala
64% · 14–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,832 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,832 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexandra Eala and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Miami on March 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Eala enters with a 28–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ostapenko has posted a 8–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Eala, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.