Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 4, 2025 • 6:35 PM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Novak Djokovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,633 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,633 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.1 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the French Open on June 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 18–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 9–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Zverev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Djokovic leads 4–3 over Zverev, including a win in their most recent meeting.