Match analytics

Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • Jun 4, 2025 • 6:35 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 3

Winner Novak Djokovic

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alexander Zverev

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.796% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.265% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.351% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Novak Djokovic

HARD

78% · 257 on hard

CLAY

75% · 93 on clay

GRASS

83% · 51 on grass

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
6.298% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.293% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.942% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%87% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the French Open on June 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 18–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Djokovic has posted a 9–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Djokovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Djokovic leads 4–3 over Zverev, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Zverev and Djokovic have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.