Alexander Zverev vs Jordan Thompson · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 24, 2025 • 4:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jordan Thompson
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,563 points across 25 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,563 points across 25 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Jordan Thompson are set to meet at the Miami on March 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Thompson has posted a 10–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Thompson, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.