Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Nov 1, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jannik Sinner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jannik Sinner
93% · 39–3 on hard
85% · 11–2 on clay
89% · 8–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,859 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 8.3 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Jannik Sinner are set to meet at the Paris on November 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sinner has posted a 39–3 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sinner, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 5–4 over Zverev, including a win in their most recent meeting.