Alexander Zverev vs Jacob Fearnley · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 22, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Jacob Fearnley are set to meet at the Miami on March 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fearnley has posted a 19–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–0 over Fearnley, including a win in their most recent meeting.